Sunday, October 17, 2004
A DOH! Moment
I have been meaning to blog about the impact of cell phones on the polling process for weeks. I haven’t had a “home” phone number in years. But Kaus, and many others have beaten me to the punch. Laziness will get you nowhere.
Polling is based on the science of statistics. The increase in cell phones and high numbers of refusals will destroy the randomness that the statistics depend on. There could be a huge surprise on Election Day. Although I suspect the phenomenon needs another few years to really have an effect.
Polling is based on the science of statistics. The increase in cell phones and high numbers of refusals will destroy the randomness that the statistics depend on. There could be a huge surprise on Election Day. Although I suspect the phenomenon needs another few years to really have an effect.
