Tuesday, September 05, 2006

 

A Skeptic Believes?

This writer’s cursory overview of global warming has led to a simple syllogism: A) The atmosphere’s temperature is rising B) There is a high probability man is a cause this time therefore C) The effects of this temperature rise are dangerous enough that some actions should be taken to mitigate the effect of modern technology on the atmosphere.

The caveat is that these beliefs are based on probabilities and potentialities. If the probable effect of global warming is less then expected, or man’s impact on the atmosphere is less then believed, then the syllogism’s conclusion will change.

According to The Australian, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is drastically changing its estimates on these issues. Not so much as to change the conclusion, but maybe enough to cause concern regarding their methodology.

The claims of scientific consensus regarding global warming are patently false. There are respected tenured professors not beholden to oil interests who doubt the existence of anthropomorphic climate change.

The argument over global warming must involve science and debate, instead of innuendo and insult if it is to have any impact at all. The IPCC’s shift is all the more dubious because of the dubiousness of their political allies.


# posted by D. W. Eifert @ 10:32 PM
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